This one is a surprise: California Pacific has been hanging around in "almost" status for at least three years. Its ambitions are modest, its business plan seems rational, and it appears to have at least one airplane. I'm surprised that it isn't already flying. The carrier plans to base at small, user-friendly Palomar Airport in northern San Diego County and to serve nearby upscale residential areas, light industry, and beach communities. From there, it will fly Embraer 170s to popular nearby destinations: Cabo San Lucas, Las Vegas, Oakland, Phoenix, Sacramento, and San Jose. The product will be a bit upscale: The Embraers have standard four-across seating, with no middle seats, and the airline proposes one no-fee checked bag and no ticket-exchange fees. What's not to like?
Prognosis: California Pacific should have a decent shot at achieving its modest goals; in fact, it should have started by now. But there has to be some reason for those endless delays.